East Asia Econ
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Paul Cavey
Japan – the gradual rise in wages
China – deflation in November
China – trade not up, but not weak
Japan – ageing hits
Taiwan – inflation down, not yet out
Japan – tightening to loosen
Japan – past the inflation peak
Korea – CPI slowing again
Last week, next week
Region – manufacturing cycle
Japan – deficient labour demand
China – soft floor, hard ceiling
Korea – actually, a bit doveish
China – PMIs drop further
Korea – not much change
Last week, next week
Taiwan – weaker consumption, stronger exports
Japan – blame politicians, not firms
Japan – inflation a little softer, services firm
Region – slow export turn
Last week, next week
Region – export cycle inflecting
China – prices and policy
Japan – GDP back below pre-covid
China – muddling through for now
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